Impact of a Second Trump Presidency, March 25

Climate Policy

  • Paris Agreement Withdrawal: Plans to exit the Paris Agreement, reversing previous climate commitments.​
  • Fossil Fuel Promotion: Intends to expand oil and gas production, including drilling in sensitive areas like the Arctic.​
  • Regulatory Rollbacks: Aims to dismantle environmental regulations, potentially increasing greenhouse gas emissions by billions of tonnes.​

Foreign Policy

  • Ukraine Conflict: Claims to swiftly end the war in Ukraine, though specifics are unclear; critics fear potential concessions to Russia.​
  • NATO Relations: Expresses willingness to reduce U.S. involvement in NATO, potentially weakening the alliance.​
  • Middle East Strategy: Plans to strengthen U.S.-Israel relations and confront Iran more aggressively.​

Public Health

  • Vaccine Skepticism: Appointment of vaccine skeptic Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to a key health position could lead to decreased vaccination rates.​The Guardian

Economic Policy

  • Tariffs: Proposes imposing tariffs on foreign goods, which could lead to short-term price increases and long-term economic challenges.​The Guardian
  • Inflation: Economic strategies may contribute to inflationary pressures.​The Guardian

Immigration

  • Mass Deportations: Plans to deport millions of undocumented individuals, involving significant humanitarian and fiscal costs.​The Guardian

Judicial Appointments

  • Supreme Court: Potential to nominate additional conservative justices, further shifting the Court’s ideological balance.​

Government Restructuring

  • Executive Power Expansion: Intends to centralize executive power, potentially undermining traditional checks and balances.​Time

Trade Policy

  • Protectionism: Advocates for tariffs on imports to boost domestic production, which could increase consumer prices.​

Allied Relations

  • Global Alliances: Potential reduction in support for traditional allies, prompting them to seek alternative partnerships.​WSJ

Abortion Rights

  • Policy Uncertainty: Aligns with those advocating for further restrictions, despite mixed referendum outcomes in several states.​The Guardian

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